The State of the U.S. Economy at the End of 2026

Event

Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) - No 6712
Soft Landing (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) - Yes 6712
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation β‰₯3.5%) - No 6712
Overheating (Unemployment <5.0%, Inflation β‰₯3.5%) - Yes 6712
Slack (Unemployment β‰₯5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) - No 6712
Slack (Unemployment β‰₯5.0%, Inflation <3.5%) - Yes 6712
Stagflation (Unemployment β‰₯5.0%, Inflation β‰₯3.5%) - No 6712
Stagflation (Unemployment β‰₯5.0%, Inflation β‰₯3.5%) - Yes 6712